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Macro-Prudential Policies in Kuwait

“The CBK has been proactive in introducing macroprudential regulations in line with international practices to mitigate potential financial stability risks. The main source of vulnerability to the banking system comes from credit concentration to the corporate sector and real estate, given the structure of Kuwait’s domestic market, which the central bank regulates through concentration limits. The main sectoral exposures of banks are in real estate, equity and household lending, the latter two regulated through ceilings on equity investments and debt-to-income limits, respectively. Having tracked increased activity in real estate, the central bank introduced a loan-to-value ratio for residential real estate for investment purposes of individuals in November 2013, to limit financial stability risks, which staff welcomes. Staff has also observed that activity has been recently increasing in investment properties and commercial real estate segments of the real estate market, which the central bank is closely watching and ready to use macroprudential tools to limit potential stability risks to the banking system arising from this sector,” according to latest IMF report on Kuwait.

“The CBK has been proactive in introducing macroprudential regulations in line with international practices to mitigate potential financial stability risks. The main source of vulnerability to the banking system comes from credit concentration to the corporate sector and real estate, given the structure of Kuwait’s domestic market, which the central bank regulates through concentration limits. The main sectoral exposures of banks are in real estate, equity and household lending, the latter two regulated through ceilings on equity investments and debt-to-income limits, respectively. Having tracked increased activity in real estate, Read the full article…

Posted by at 8:20 PM

Labels: Global Housing Watch

Macro-Prudential Policies in Turkey

The latest IMF’s report on Turkey lists the recent macro-prudential policies implemented. To see the list click here.

The latest IMF’s report on Turkey lists the recent macro-prudential policies implemented. To see the list click here. Read the full article…

Posted by at 8:08 PM

Labels: Global Housing Watch

House Prices in Netherlands

“The global recession and regulatory tightening have helped deflate the housing prices with the losses falling disproportionately on the younger generations. House prices have declined by 27 percent in real terms since their peak in late 2008. The deflation of Dutch housing prices has caused massive losses of wealth which are unevenly distributed across generations. Younger house buyers are burdened by the lion’s share of losses in housing wealth. In addition to greater housing losses, younger households have not have sufficient time to accumulate pension claims and other (financial) assets households under the age of 35 have negligible levels of net worth,” according to a new IMF report on Netherlands.

Read here the full note on House Prices, Consumption, and the Household Debt Overhang in the Netherlands. Also, read here the note on Building a More Resilient and Efficient Market for Housing and Finance in the Netherlands.

“The global recession and regulatory tightening have helped deflate the housing prices with the losses falling disproportionately on the younger generations. House prices have declined by 27 percent in real terms since their peak in late 2008. The deflation of Dutch housing prices has caused massive losses of wealth which are unevenly distributed across generations. Younger house buyers are burdened by the lion’s share of losses in housing wealth. In addition to greater housing losses, younger households have not have sufficient time to accumulate pension claims and other (financial) assets households under the age of 35 have negligible levels of net worth,” Read the full article…

Posted by at 8:02 PM

Labels: Global Housing Watch

IIMB-IMF Conference on Housing Markets, Financial Stability and Growth

Here are links to papers and presentations for the conference. A link to the speech by Ratna Sahay will be posted later. Scroll down for links to papers and presentations on housing finance (by Frank Warnock, Veronica Warnock, Simon Walley); on urbanization (Somik Lall, Tony Venables); house prices in emerging markets (Hites Ahir, Mick Silver and Alessandro Rebucci); and the housing market in India (H. A. C. Prasad, Lalit Kumar, and Charan Singh). Also, see a blog by Min Zhu on Managing House Price Booms in Emerging Markets, IMF’s Deputy Managing Director. 





Inaugural Address

R V Verma, Former Chairman, NHB

Session 1: Macroprudential Policies

Chair: Arvind Virmani, Former ED, IMF

Ratna Sahay, IMF
How to Manage Housing Booms: What Does the Cross-Country Evidence Show? (PPT)

Jihad Dagher, IMF
Housing Finance and Real Estate Booms: A Cross-Country Perspective

Discussant: Hans Genberg, Bank Negara Malaysia and SEACEN (PPT)

Session 2: Frontiers of Housing Research

Chair: Hans Genberg, Bank Negara Malaysia and SEACEN

Inho Song, Korea Development Institute
Housing as a Unique Asset

Discussant: Mico Loretan, Swiss National Bank (PPT)

Chetan Subramanian, IIM-Bangalore
Asset Price Bubbles and Endogenous Growth

Discussant: Romar Correa, University of Mumbai

Session 3: Housing Finance

Chair: K Kanagasabapathy, Former Adviser-in-charge, MPD, RBI

Veronica Warnock, University of Virginia
Developing Housing Finance Systems: A Global Perspective 

Simon Walley, World Bank
Housing the World: Leveraging Private Sector Resources for the Public Good (PPT)

Frank Warnock, University of Virginia
Housing Finance in Latin America: What is Holding it Back? 

Discussants: R. S. Deshpande, Former Director, ISEC
                     Devi Prasad, Former Director, FPI

Session 4: Urbanization

Chair: R. S. Deshpande, Former Director, ISEC

Somik Lall, World Bank
Urbanization and Housing Investment (PPT)

Discussant: Frank Warnock, University of Virginia

Tony Venables, Oxford
Housing in African Cities: Why it Matters and What is Going Wrong (PPT)

Discussant: Ashima Goyal, IGIDR, Mumbai (PPT)



Session 5: Understanding House Prices

Chair: Ashima Goyal, IGIDR, Mumbai

Hites Ahir, IMF
House Prices in Emerging Markets (PPT)

Mick Silver, IMF
Real Estate Price Measurement: Availability and Importance (PPT)

Discussant: Manoranjan Sharma, GM, Canara Bank

Alessandro Rebucci, Johns Hopkins University
Capital Flows, House Prices and the Macroeconomy (PPT)

Discussant: Mick Silver, IMF (PPT)

Session 6: Housing Markets and Monetary Policy in India

Chair: Alok Sheel, Secretary, Government of India

Presenter: H. A. C. Prasad, MoF, Gol; Lalit Kumar, National Housing Bank and Charan Singh, IIM-Bangalore
Housing Market in India (PPT)

Roundtable: Senior management from State Bank of India, ICICI, State Bank of Mysore and Canara Bank

Valedictory Address

G. S. Sandhu, Former Secretary, Financial Services, MoF, GoI

Here are links to papers and presentations for the conference. A link to the speech by Ratna Sahay will be posted later. Scroll down for links to papers and presentations on housing finance (by Frank Warnock, Veronica Warnock, Simon Walley); on urbanization (Somik Lall, Tony Venables); house prices in emerging markets (Hites Ahir, Mick Silver and Alessandro Rebucci); and the housing market in India (H. A. C. Prasad, Lalit Kumar, and Charan Singh). Also, see a blog by Min Zhu on Managing House Price Booms in Emerging Markets, Read the full article…

Posted by at 10:51 AM

Labels: Global Housing Watch

Does Growth Lower Unemployment? (Was Krugman Right Yet Again)?

 On July 9, 2011 when U.S. unemployment was at record highs, Paul Krugman wrote: “Why is unemployment remaining high? Because growth is weak — period, full stop, end of story.” Krugman went on to appeal to an old relationship known as Okun’s Law: “Historically, low or negative growth has meant rising unemployment, fast growth falling unemployment (Okun’s Law).” 


How well has Okun’s Law held up in the 3 ½ years since Krugman wrote? The evidence for the period 1947 to the present is shown below. It is evident that, for the U.S., Okun’s Law has held up quite well, as I have noted before

In a recent presentation at Oberlin College, I also looked at how well Okun’s Law holds across the world. If you don’t want to flip through the (fascinating) 100-slide presentation, I did a short summary this week for the IMF’s blog.

 On July 9, 2011 when U.S. unemployment was at record highs, Paul Krugman wrote: “Why is unemployment remaining high? Because growth is weak — period, full stop, end of story.” Krugman went on to appeal to an old relationship known as Okun’s Law: “Historically, low or negative growth has meant rising unemployment, fast growth falling unemployment (Okun’s Law).” 

How well has Okun’s Law held up in the 3 ½ years since Krugman wrote? Read the full article…

Posted by at 5:36 PM

Labels: Inclusive Growth

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