Showing posts with label Global Housing Watch. Show all posts
Monday, July 14, 2025
From a paper by Ali Soltani, Alireza Dehghani, and Parviz Azizi:
“Urban expansion has traditionally been studied in terms of horizontal sprawl, overlooking the role of vertical densification. This paper adopts a volumetric approach to analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban growth in the Tehran Metropolitan Region (TMR) from 1985 to 2024, addressing two key objectives: (a) to examine border patterns of volumetric growth, demographic shifts, and intra-urban variations, and (b) to identify the underlying drivers of volumetric expansion. Using Landsat imagery, Global Human Settlement Layer (GHSL) data, and population statistics from the Statistical Center of Iran, we apply spatial-statistical methods and the XGBoost-SHAP machine learning framework to assess urban expansion patterns and their driving forces. Our findings reveal a transition from vertical densification to horizontal sprawl, with urban expansion increasingly adopting an outward trajectory. Intra-urban analysis uncovers a diffusion-coalescence pattern, where vertical densification often follows horizontal expansion but can also occur concurrently. While older urban segments continue to densify vertically due to land scarcity, newly developed areas exhibit distinct volumetric characteristics, reflecting a cyclical interplay between centralization and decentralization. The XGBoost-SHAP analysis highlights a shift in driving forces from spatial inertia to population-driven growth and, more recently, to economic and geographic constraints. By integrating remote sensing, spatial analysis, and machine learning, this study provides a systematic and data-driven framework for understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban expansion and its underlying drivers. The findings underscore the importance of integrated urban planning strategies that balance vertical and horizontal growth, optimize land use, and enhance sustainability. Incorporating volumetric analysis into planning frameworks can foster more adaptive, resource-efficient, and resilient urban development.”
From a paper by Ali Soltani, Alireza Dehghani, and Parviz Azizi:
“Urban expansion has traditionally been studied in terms of horizontal sprawl, overlooking the role of vertical densification. This paper adopts a volumetric approach to analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban growth in the Tehran Metropolitan Region (TMR) from 1985 to 2024, addressing two key objectives: (a) to examine border patterns of volumetric growth, demographic shifts, and intra-urban variations, and (b) to identify the underlying drivers of volumetric expansion.
Posted by 4:03 PM
atLabels: Global Housing Watch
Monday, July 7, 2025
From a paper by José Alberto Fuinhas, Daniela Castilho, Volkan Kaymaz, and Matheus Koengkan:
“In this empirical investigation, the influence of tourism on housing prices was studied for 13 European Union countries from 2005 to 2019 using cs-ARDL and Quantile cs-ARDL econometric approaches. The findings reveal a positive effect running from the tourism sector (represented by tourism revenues and the number of arrivals) to housing price indices, indicating that this industry significantly impacts real estate markets. Moreover, the results show that economic growth, bank credit, and population growth drive house prices. These outcomes have significant implications for policymakers, highlighting the dual nature of tourism’s impact and the need for a careful balance between promoting tourism as an economic strategy and ensuring housing affordability for residents.”
From a paper by José Alberto Fuinhas, Daniela Castilho, Volkan Kaymaz, and Matheus Koengkan:
“In this empirical investigation, the influence of tourism on housing prices was studied for 13 European Union countries from 2005 to 2019 using cs-ARDL and Quantile cs-ARDL econometric approaches. The findings reveal a positive effect running from the tourism sector (represented by tourism revenues and the number of arrivals) to housing price indices, indicating that this industry significantly impacts real estate markets.
Posted by 2:49 PM
atLabels: Global Housing Watch
Saturday, June 28, 2025
On cross-country:
Working papers and conferences:
On China:
On other countries:
On cross-country:
Working papers and conferences:
On China:
Posted by 5:00 AM
atLabels: Global Housing Watch
Friday, June 27, 2025
On prices, rent, and mortgage:
On sales, permits, starts, and supply:
On other developments:
On prices, rent, and mortgage:
Posted by 5:00 AM
atLabels: Global Housing Watch
Saturday, June 21, 2025
Working papers and conferences:
On China:
On Australia and New Zealand:
On other countries:
Working papers and conferences:
Posted by 5:00 AM
atLabels: Global Housing Watch
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