The Unassuming Economist

On cross-country:

• Global real estate outlook – Edition June 2026. Middle East conflict is creating uncertainty – UBS

Working papers and conferences:  

• What 30 Million Applications Reveal about Mortgage Denial Thresholds – St. Louis Fed
• Measuring Housing Quality Using Revealed Preference: A Geographic PageRank Approach – NBER
• The pros and cons of sectoral macroprudential policy – National Bank of Belgium
• Felt but Unseen: The Lesser-Known Forces Influencing Home Prices – Philadelphia Fed

On Australia and New Zealand:

• [Australia] Aussie home prices set for weakest growth in four years as rates bite – Reuters
• [Australia] Australian housing was already cooling before the budget – but how cold it gets depends on two key factors – The Guardian
• [Australia] Australia tries to fix its housing crisis. Will it work? Anthony Albanese is aiming to undo decades of tax incentives and make property more affordable for younger buyers – FT
• [Australia] For those shedding a tear over house prices falling, these numbers may change your mind. An average home would cost $595,500 now if prices were the same relative to income as before John Howard turned the market into an investor casino – The Guardian
• [Australia] Can a correction fix Australia’s housing market? Anthony Albanese is aiming to undo decades of tax incentives and make property more affordable for younger buyers – FT

On other countries:  

• [Canada] How the Squamish built Senakw. Just outside downtown Vancouver, the Squamish Nation is building one of the most ambitious and unusual housing developments in the world and getting rich in the process. – Work in Progress Newsletter
• [China] China’s Residential Property Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [Cyprus] Cyprus’s Residential Property Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [Germany] Germany’s Residential Property Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [Iran] Tehran property prices pick up as gold loses shine. Long-stagnant housing market has seen an unexpected revival as Iranians seek refuge from rampant inflation – FT
• [Netherlands] How ING uses agentic AI to speed up mortgage decisions – ING
• [Netherlands] The Netherlands’ Residential Property Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [Spain] A 20% Bruselas advierte a España de que los altos precios de la vivienda dificultan la movilidad de los trabajadores y la competitividad de la Economía. La Comisión reclama a los Gobiernos “una acción decisiva” ante un problema que “socavará la cohesión social” – El Pais
• [Switzerland] Switzerland Residential Property Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [United Kingdom] UK house prices fall for third successive month amid Iran war uncertainty. Unexpected monthly drop of 0.1% in May leaves price of typical home at £298,806, says lender Halifax – The Guardian
• [United Kingdom] Housing Market Update – June 2026 – Savills
• [United Kingdom] Homeowners are getting used to the UK’s perma-crisis. Households appear to have adapted to a constant state of flux – FT

On prices, rent, and mortgage:    

• Mortgage Rates Increase Further as Inflation Remains Elevated – NAHB
• Mortgage Applications Retreat in May, with ARMs Gaining Share – NAHB
• June ICE Mortgage Monitor: “Annual home price growth was 1.0% in mid-May” – Calculated Risk
• ‘Rent now, pay later’ loans target US consumers squeezed by housing costs. Demand for short-term financing expands into rental market amid deepening affordability crisis – FT
• Rent Is So High, New Yorkers Are Living With Nuns. Convent boarding houses are affordable and clean, but there are rules: curfews, chores and sometimes nuns who vet boyfriends. – Wall Street Journal

On sales, permits, starts, and supply:     

• 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in May – Calculated Risk
• NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.17 million SAAR in May. Median House Prices Increased 1.3% Year-over-Year – Calculated Risk
• May Home Sales Notched Their Biggest Rise This Year. Easing mortgage rates and an increase in inventory lured back buyers, boosting sales 3.2% for the month – Wall Street Journal
• Home Building Regulatory Cost Burdens Increased 40% from 2021 to 2026 – NAHB
• The US Is Building More Housing Near Transit, But Not Nearly Enough. Since the 1980s, many cities have embraced transit-oriented development policies to encourage more walkable neighborhoods. A new analysis shows how far they’ve come. – Bloomberg

On other developments:    

• Homelessness Declines but Remains Near Record High – Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies
• A housing market on the precipice: New insights from the DMV Monitor – Brookings
• May 2026 Monthly Housing Report: Sellers Are Meeting the Market—and Buyers Are Showing Up – Realtor.com
• In These Cities, the Housing Market Runs on Generational Wealth – Realtor.com
• Addressing the Housing Affordability Crisis Requires Increasing Housing Supply and Expanding Rental Assistance – Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
• Foreclosure Filings Dip Month-Over-Month While Annual Trend Continues Upward – ATTOM
• These Young Politicians Want to Fix America’s Housing Problems. A cohort of young Millennial and Gen Z politicians have centered their campaigns this year on housing costs, and the divide is more generational than partisan. – New York Times

On cross-country:

• Real Estate Ranked: The World’s Hottest Luxury Housing Markets – Visual Capitalist
• The lost art of building cities – Work in Progress Newsletter

Working papers and conferences:  

• The Effect of Land Supply for New Homes on Residential Investment and House Prices – Boston Fed
• Housing Capital and Intergenerational Mobility in the United States – NBER
• Towards a Methodology for Measuring Rental Property Ownership in the United States – NBER
• Where Are the Economies of Scale in Homebuilding? – Construction Physics
• Tracking the Shift from Mortgage Refinancings to HELOCs – St. Louis Fed
• International Real Estate Conference on November 24-26 – ESPI

On China:

• China’s housing market could have further to fall. To make real estate attractive for investors, prices must go lower – FT
• China’s real estate funk drags down yet another sector: property service providers – Reuters

On Australia and New Zealand:

• [Australia] Yes Australia’s house prices may fall – but the decades of unchecked property price growth were the true policy failure – The Guardian
• [Australia] House prices are falling in Australia. That’s a good thing – if you believe housing is a basic human need – The Guardian
• [Australia] House prices are falling in Australia. That’s a good thing – if you believe housing is a basic human need. Labor’s budget changes are not to blame for the recent dip in property prices. But the changes will help move housing away from investors – and that should be celebrated – The Guardian
• [New Zealand] New Zealand House Prices Stall as Buyers Remain Disinterested – Bloomberg
• [New Zealand] New Zealand Home Building Hits 10-Year Low as House Prices Stall – Bloomberg

On other countries:  

• [Canada] A 20% Housing Drop Still Leaves Canadians Locked Out of Market – Bloomberg
• [Canada] Cutting development fees alone won’t solve housing affordability, CMHC says – The Globe and Mail
• [Kazakhstan] Homes and Hopes: Mobilizing Private Capital for Affordable Housing and Family Investment in Kazakhstan – World Bank
• [Kenya] Kenya’s Affordable Housing Drive is Leaving Many People Homeless. Historic neighborhoods are being razed to make way for high rises, and the government doesn’t have a plan for relocating evicted residents. – Bloomberg
• [United Kingdom] No, now is not the time for UK rent controls. Three think-tanks are promoting curbs to rental growth — but that horse has already bolted – FT
• [United Kingdom] UK house prices fall in May amid Iran turmoil. Higher mortgage rates blamed for Nationwide index’s first monthly decline this year – FT
• [United Kingdom] UK monthly house prices fall for first time since start of Iran war, Nationwide says – Reuters

On prices, rent, and mortgage:    

• New Home vs. Existing Home Prices in Q1 2026 – NAHB
• Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in April; Up 1.4% Year-over-year. Punta Gorda House Prices Down 21% from Recent Peak, Austin Down 17% – Calculated Risk
• Mortgage rates are hovering at their highest point since last August. The 30-year fixed rate climbed to 6.53% this week as uncertainty over the Iran war weighs on borrowers and lenders – Quartz
• US new home sales slump in April amid higher mortgage rates, prices – Reuters
• Zillow downgrades its home price forecast across 400-plus housing markets—see the data. Zillow predicts that national housing affordability may improve slightly as U.S. income growth outpaces U.S. home price growth. – Fast Company
• A.I. Boom Upends San Francisco Housing Market. The Bay Area boasts the highest median home prices in the country and experienced the sharpest annual price increases. – New York Times
• Mortgage Lenders Shift Focus to Enhancing the Consumer Experience – Fannie Mae
• Single-Family AD&C Lending Edges Higher in Q1 – NAHB
• Asking Rents Continue to Decline Year-over-year – Calculated Risk
• House Price Appreciation by State and Metro Area in the First Quarter of 2026 – NAHB

On sales, permits, starts, and supply:     

• New Home Sales Decrease to 622,000 Annual Rate in April. Median New Home Price is Down 15% from the Peak due to Change in Mix – Calculated Risk
• Housing Supply Is Not Primarily a Financing Problem – AEI
• L.A.’s Plan To Build Half a Million New Homes Is Drawing Major Developer Interest – Realtor.com
• he Barriers to Building More Housing – New York Times
• HBGI Q1 2026: Single-Family Construction Slips Across All Geographies – NAHB
• Slight Increase for Construction Job Openings – NAHB
• Highest Paid Occupations in Construction in 2025 – NAHB

On other developments:    

• New Home Sales Down in April on Affordability Concerns – NAHB  
• Real-Estate Agents Are Quitting the Slow Housing Market. In the fourth year of a struggling market, even real-estate professionals who made it this far are reaching a breaking point – Wall Street Journal
• By 2064, the Global Population Could Be Halved in a Worst-Case Scenario—but Housing Affordability Poses a Far More Immediate Risk – Realtor.com
• Lenders and Real Estate Agents Still Beat Online Sources as Top Mortgage Influencers… For Now – Fannie Mae
• Louisiana is criminalizing a housing problem. Without addressing the underlying housing shortage, the bill risks creating a cycle of repeat arrests that effectively turns jail cells into expensive temporary shelters. – Reason
• An Interview with Jim the Realtor – Calculated Risk
• Berkshire Is Convinced the American Dream of Homeownership Will Stay Alive. Under its new chief executive, Greg Abel, Berkshire raises its bet on a market recovery by adding another housing company to its portfolio – Wall Street Journal
• Over 100,000 Tech Workers Have Been Laid Off This Year Already. Where Will They Move Next? – Realtor.com
• This Housing Bill Is Progress, Not Perfection. The House-amended 21st Century Road to Housing Act will has a meaningful effect, increasing housing supply across the country. – Wall Street Journal
• The AI Premium: How AI Boom Is Reshaping Bay Area Luxury Home Buying – Realtor.com
• Housing policies in Saint Paul yield mixed results, data and developers say. New Minneapolis Fed data dashboard highlights housing challenges and opportunities in Minnesota’s capital city – Minneapolis Fed
• Saint Paul Housing Dashboard. Minneapolis Fed launches new tool to inform housing policy in Saint Paul, Minnesota – Minneapolis Fed
• Unemployment and Foreclosure Rates Drive Housing Market Risk – ATTOM

On cross-country:

• BIS residential property price statistics, Q4 2025. Real global house prices fell by 0.6% year on year (yoy) at the end of 2025. Real prices were almost stable in advanced economies, while they continued to decrease in emerging market economies, especially in Asia. – BIS
• Global House Price Index: 1, 5 & 10 Year Changes by Country – Global Property Guide
• An Extreme Housing Bubble’s Cautionary Tale for the Rest of the World – Bloomberg

Working papers and conferences:

• Industrial Concentration, Property Values, and Municipal Bond Spreads – NBER
• The Heterogeneous Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy – NBER 
• Rental Prices and the Cost of Living in the United States, 1914-2006 – Philadelphia Fed
• Failing the Threshold: The Impact of Rising Interest Rates on Mortgage Borrowing – St. Louis Fed

On Australia and New Zealand:

• [Australia] Insights From New Data on Australian Housing Investors – Reserve Bank of Australia
• [Australia] How Australia’s Housing Market Became So Out of Reach. Ballooning property prices and rents have caused a housing affordability crisis in Australia. Can the government’s planned changes to property taxes fix the problem? – Bloomberg
• [Australia] Can Australia make housing more affordable without hurting tech start-ups? – The Straits Times
• [Australia] Australia’s property lobby would have us believe investors are selfless public servants. It’s just profiteering. Labor is right to wind back a system where taxpayers spend billions lining the pockets of those who treat housing like an asset class, not a basic need – The Guardian
• [New Zealand] The World’s Most Extreme Housing Boom Is Now Roiling an Entire Economy. New Zealand’s downturn shows the difficult trade-offs governments face in trying to restore home affordability. – Bloomberg
• [New Zealand] Why New Zealand’s Housing Bubble Burst – Bloomberg

On other countries:  

• [Cyprus] Cyprus’s Residential Property Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [Hong Kong] Hong Kong’s Residential Property Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [Italy] Italy’s Residential Property Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [Georgia] Georgia’s Residential Property Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [Switzerland] Housing squeeze in Swiss boom region fuels support for population cap – Reuters
• [Taiwan] Taiwan’s Residential Real Estate Market Analysis 2026 – Global Property Guide
• [United Kingdom] Time to ‘do the splits’ on your mortgage? Overstretched borrowers are finding ways to alleviate the pain of higher interest rates – FT