The Unassuming Economist

From a paper by Nasser Khiabani  and Solaleh Tavassoli:

“This study reviews the evolution of national and regional housing models that developed and received much attention in the housing economics literature. From this point of view, first, we focus our attention on the econometric modeling of national housing markets and discuss their limitations in twofold: inferring individual-level relations from aggregate-level data or aggregate shocks, and assuming spatial homogeneity in all regions. These two problems will be addressed precisely in the newly developed regional housing market models by identifying the sources of cross-sectoral dependence, namely, spatial and temporal dependence. Spatial dependence refers to how spatial factors influence economic processes. It is measured through a spatial weighting matrix. Cross-sectional dependence stemming from common factors is attributed to economy-wide shocks that affect all individuals with different intensities coming from different macro shocks, such as interest rates, oil prices, and technology shocks.”

From ET Edge Insights:

“India’s Industrial Park development is an important driver of economic development, but its importance goes beyond financial growth. It can change the urban environment to be a sustainable, resilient, and inclusive ecosystem, directly contributing to SDG 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities. Embedding sustainability, smart planning, and green practices, industrial parks can harmonize industrial activity with urban well-being.

Urban growth through planned industrial parks

One of the key means by which industrial parks help support SDG 11 is planned urbanization. Aggregating industries prevents it from all haphazard sprawls and prevents much stress on the built-up infrastructure of a city or town. For instance, the Dahej PCPIR region located in the state of Gujarat covers nearly 450 square kilometres that have been well planned into an industrial cluster to keep maximum use of the land on the one hand, which would cause minimum displacement on the lands adjacent to the industry cluster.

Industrial Park integrates urban planning by providing residential zones, green spaces, and the services to be provided for workers. This planned approach goes along with SDG 11.3 and is dedicated to sustainable urbanization, in which participatory planning aims for harmonious coexistence between the industrial and the urban.

Inclusive growth and social development

An Industrial Park is more than just industries – it’s an ecosystem. This will foster inclusive development; these entities will actually be producing jobs, developing entrepreneurs, and upgrading living standards within a region.

Furthermore, Industrial Parks generally trigger the growth of supportive infrastructures like schools, hospitals, and houses. Industrial parks have witnessed the establishment of educational and health facilities for the benefit of the local people. The infrastructure developments support SDG 11.1 by giving access to basic and affordable housing and services.”

Continue reading here.

From a paper by Ted Schrecker:

“‘Polycrisis’ (1) has a good claim to status as the word of the decade, in a world beset by such phenomena as the fallout from the worst pandemic in a century; heightened geopolitical uncertainty and its economic impacts; and human-induced climate change and other disturbing manifestations of the Anthropocene Epoch. Yet another crisis, rising inequality, has drawn relatively less attention, although it compromises or eliminates the chances for large segments of the population to lead healthy lives.

In 2014, the then-managing director (CEO) of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) described the growth in inequality worldwide as ‘staggering’ and warned that ‘[i]f we are not careful, the ghosts of the 19th century will haunt the 21st century’ (2). Although the organization she led had over the decades done much to contribute to that pattern, she was correct, and the subsequent decade provided abundant evidence that the haunting she anticipated is already happening (3, chapter 3; 4).

Health promotion research and practice have yet to adequately take on board the consequences of this pattern. Concepts like health literacy that presume individuals have the material resources needed to lead a healthy life are of limited relevance, to put it politely, to populations like:

- The 2.8 billion of the world’s people who could not afford a healthy diet in 2022, according to the United Nations agency with responsibility for food security (5, p. xix);

- The 3.8 million people in the United Kingdom (UK) who experienced destitution, ‘where people cannot afford to meet their most basic physical needs to stay warm, dry, clean and fed’ (6) in 2022, up from 1.55 million in 2017 (7);

- The estimated 800,000 United States (US) urban residents who lacked a piped water connection between 2013 and 2017 (8), after cost increases associated with a decade of privatization and austerity.”

From the World Bank:

“A new World Bank report highlights Kazakhstan’s progress in reducing poverty and the challenges ahead for inclusive growth, stressing that the pace of poverty reduction has slowed in recent years despite significant advances since the early 2000s. According to the “Kazakhstan Poverty and Equity Assessment 2024” report, making fiscal policy more pro-poor, improving the quality of education, and strengthening climate resilience are critical priorities for policymakers in order to reduce poverty and inequality in Kazakhstan.

Kazakhstan’s economy has grown robustly since 2006, with an average annual growth rate of 4.7 percent. This growth has increased incomes and living standards, transitioning the country to upper-middle-income status. These gains lifted 5.9 million people out of poverty, reducing the poverty rate from 49.5 percent to 8.5 percent in the same period.

“Between 2006 and 2021, economic advancement significantly improved living standards and reduced poverty rates in Kazakhstan. Economic growth has slowed since 2014, and the pace of poverty reduction has fallen. The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated these challenges, highlighting the need for resilient and inclusive economic strategies presented in this report,” said Andrei Mikhnev, World Bank Country Manager for Kazakhstan.“

Continue reading here.

From a paper by Paolo Di Lorenzo and Eric Anthony Lacey“

“This paper provides an overview of issues related to fiscal consolidation drawing on the
literature; it distills some lessons from fiscal consolidation episodes using a new database covering
196 countries from 2000 to 2023. The paper discusses the motives, timing, design, and political
economy of fiscal consolidation, as well as its macroeconomic and social impacts. We find that
fiscal consolidation is often necessary and successful in restoring fiscal sustainability by stopping
debt accumulation, but less successful in lowering debt levels; moreover, it can also entail
significant costs and trade-offs in terms of growth, poverty, and inequality. Composition also
matters, as expenditure-based consolidations tend to be more successful than revenue-based
consolidations and less likely to cause a deterioration in poverty rates or inequality. However,
revenue gains usually play an important role starting in the second year of consolidation. Overall,
the paper suggests that successful fiscal consolidation requires careful consideration of the
economic context, the composition of adjustment, complementary economic policies, and
communication and credibility of the strategy. The best way to implement fiscal adjustment is to
establish a consolidation strategy in normal/non-crisis times} to ensure that governments do not
have to rely on abrupt, pro-cyclical adjustments that may exhaust all buffers in the aftermath of a
shock.

“