Inclusive Growth

Global Housing Watch

Forecasting Forum

Energy & Climate Change

Macroprudential Policies and Housing Prices

Several countries in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe used a rich set of prudential instruments in response to last decade’s credit and housing boom and bust cycles. A new paper collects detailed information on these policy measures in a comprehensive database covering 16 countries at a quarterly frequency. The authors use this database to investigate whether the policy measures had an impact on housing price inflation. Their evidence suggests that some—but not all—measures did have an impact. These measures were changes in the minimum CAR and non-standard liquidity measures (marginal reserve requirements on foreign funding, marginal reserve requirements linked to credit growth).

Several countries in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe used a rich set of prudential instruments in response to last decade’s credit and housing boom and bust cycles. A new paper collects detailed information on these policy measures in a comprehensive database covering 16 countries at a quarterly frequency. The authors use this database to investigate whether the policy measures had an impact on housing price inflation. Their evidence suggests that some—but not all—measures did have an impact.

Read the full article…

Posted by at 12:43 AM

Labels: Global Housing Watch

An assessment of the US jobless recovery through a non-linear Okun’s law

From Econbrowser:

Following the recent financial crisis and its subsequent Great Recession, the issue of a sluggish US employment was raised by economic observers. In a previous post on Econbrowser, Menzie Chinn pointed out the usefulness of the Okun’s law in assessing the potential level of employment after the recession. Especially, Menzie shows that:

  • If one does not account for the long-term relationship between GDP and employment (i.e.; if one focuses only on the relationship in differences), then the bounce-back in employment after the 2008-09 recession cannot be captured.
  • A standard error-correction model (ECM) is able to reproduce the general evolutions, but misses a large part of the recovery after the end of the recession.
  • Accounting for the US business cycle by incorporating a dummy variable that takes the value 1 during recessions and 0 otherwise, according to the NBER Dating Committee dating, enables a better reproduction of stylized facts.
In this work, we reconsider this ECM approach but we do not impose any dummy variable and propose to let the data speak through a non-linear ECM. Read more.

From Econbrowser:

Following the recent financial crisis and its subsequent Great Recession, the issue of a sluggish US employment was raised by economic observers. In a previous post on Econbrowser, Menzie Chinn pointed out the usefulness of the Okun’s law in assessing the potential level of employment after the recession. Especially, Menzie shows that:

  • If one does not account for the long-term relationship between GDP and employment (i.e.; if one focuses only on the relationship in differences),

Read the full article…

Posted by at 12:34 PM

Labels: Inclusive Growth

How the IMF and the World Bank contribute to a job-rich global recovery?

See the interview here.

See the interview here.

Read the full article…

Posted by at 1:23 PM

Labels: Inclusive Growth

Seven Questions on Turning Points of the Global Business Cycle

The depth and breadth of the worldwide recession that followed the 2007–09 financial crisis have led to intensive discussions about the phases of the global business cycle—global recessions and global recoveries. The fragile nature of the ensuing global recovery has added a new twist to these discussions because of widespread concerns about the possibility of a double-dip global recession. This article provides brief answers to seven commonly asked questions about the global recessions and recoveries. Read more.

The depth and breadth of the worldwide recession that followed the 2007–09 financial crisis have led to intensive discussions about the phases of the global business cycle—global recessions and global recoveries. The fragile nature of the ensuing global recovery has added a new twist to these discussions because of widespread concerns about the possibility of a double-dip global recession. This article provides brief answers to seven commonly asked questions about the global recessions and recoveries. Read more.

Read the full article…

Posted by at 9:54 AM

Labels: Forecasting Forum

A Project in Every Port

 Prakash Loungani profiles
Jeffrey Sachs, peripatetic development economist

IT IS HARD to imagine a more accomplished—and more varied—career than that of Jeff Sachs. Harvard University granted him tenure in 1982 when he was only 28. In his early thirties, he helped Bolivia end its hyperinflation and restructure its debt. Only a few years later, he was drafting the Polish government’s blueprint for transition from communism to capitalism. Stints as advisor to the governments of Russia, Estonia, Burkina Faso, and India—among many others—followed. Sachs campaigned for debt relief for poor countries and, as an advisor to UN Secretary General Kofi Annan, developed a plan to achieve the Millennium Development Goals. Since 2002, as director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, Sachs has set his sights even higher. The Institute, an interdisciplinary group of 850 people, addresses some of the world’s most difficult problems, from eradication of disease to global warming. Read more.

 Prakash Loungani profiles
Jeffrey Sachs, peripatetic development economist

IT IS HARD to imagine a more accomplished—and more varied—career than that of Jeff Sachs. Harvard University granted him tenure in 1982 when he was only 28. In his early thirties, he helped Bolivia end its hyperinflation and restructure its debt. Only a few years later, he was drafting the Polish government’s blueprint for transition from communism to capitalism.

Read the full article…

Posted by at 9:37 PM

Labels: Profiles of Economists

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