From a paper by Florian Huber, Massimiliano Marcellino, and Tommaso Tornese:

“We study the distributional implications of uncertainty shocks by developing a model that links macroeconomic aggregates to the US distribution of earnings and consumption. We find that: initially, the fraction of low-earning workers decreases, while the share of households reporting low consumption increases; at longer horizons, the fraction of low-income workers increases, but the consumption distribution reverts to its pre-shock shape. While the first phase reduces income inequality and increases consumption inequality, in the second stage income inequality rises, while the effects on consumption inequality dissipate. Finally, we introduce Functional Local Projections and show that they yield similar results.”

From a post by Matthew E. Kahn:

“I like Peter Coy’s new New York Times column and want to use it to discuss the climate change adaptation challenge.

Here is a direct quote from Coy;

“Knight’s thinking is as relevant now as it was in 1921, when “Risk, Uncertainty and Profit” was published. We still need tools for coping with uncertainty. Knight’s perspective can guide us to a middle course between trying to avoid uncertainty entirely, which is impossible, and plunging headlong into the darkness, which is reckless.

Knight has been forgotten or misconstrued repeatedly over the past century. A new book by the scholar Amar Bhidé brings back his original insights and dares to try to improve upon them — mostly by extending them into realms that Knight didn’t consider, such as the persuasive techniques that entrepreneurs use to overcome the uncertainty felt by investors, customers and partners.”

Peter Coy has not interviewed me about my work on Knightian Uncertainty applied to climate change adaptation. In my academic writing and in my 2021 book Adapting to Climate Change,“

Continue reading here.

From a post by Alice Evans:

“Did you know that Indian higher education has now achieved gender parity?

Below, I visualise data from the annual web-based All India Survey on Higher Education (2021-22). This shows the gender ratio enrolled in colleges within that state. Students may have migrated from other states.

Himachal Pradesh’s gender ratio now exceeds the USA, with women in the lead.

Female tertiary enrolment has surged!

Look back at the female-to-male ratio in higher education in 2012. There has been major progress towards gender parity. In Medicine, women have actually taken the lead.”

Continue reading here.

From a paper by Hammed Adetola Adefeso:

“The study investigates the role of governance on financial development and inequality nexus in African economies. Based on the system-Generalised Method of Moments (sys-GMM) on 41 African countries from 2001-2020. The empirical findings from the study are: (1) income inequality is highly persistent in the African countries; (2) financial development has insignificant increasing impact on inequality; (3) the interactive terms of financial development with control of corruption and rule of law have increasing impacts on income inequality implying that when there is rule of law and corruption is under controlled, given an increase in financial development will further widen inequality in the region. The study concludes by advocating for the need of good governance before income inequality can be reduced in Africa.”

From a paper by Barbara Binder:

“The dissertation examines the impact of minimum wages on the development of income inequality in the USA from 1989 to 2018. In many post-industrial societies, income inequality in terms of disposable household income has risen significantly in recent decades. Since labor income is the primary income source for households in these societies, changes in wage structures can substantially influence household income distribution. Skepticism regarding minimum wages as a social policy tool remains high and is a subject of intense debate in both academia and politics.
In the USA, statutory minimum wages have increased in the median over the studied period due to state-level minimum wage hikes. Additionally, significant changes in social structure have had profound effects on the labor market and on the composition and income situations of households with minimum wage earners. Minimum wage earners are increasingly the primary contributors to household income, thus significantly determining household welfare. Concurrently, the U.S. welfare state has shifted towards targeting working individuals and their households. The income tax system has become one of the most important forms of government support, with tax refunds serving as an additional income source for households with low to moderate labor incomes. The study hypothesizes that the improved income situation of households with minimum wage earners has contributed to an increase in quantile values in the lower household income range, thereby reducing net household income inequality.
The analysis uses decompositions of unconditional quantile regressions to examine the contribution of households with minimum wage earners to changes in quantile values across the lower half of the income distribution. Various income concepts for measuring inequality and different model specifications are applied.
The results show that households with minimum wage earners, due to their improved income situations, significantly contributed to a slight increase of 1 to 2 percent in quantile values between the third and eighth percentiles of the overall population’s net household income distribution, thereby slightly reducing income inequality. This effect is somewhat stronger when households with minimum wage earners also benefit from tax refunds. These positive contributions fall below the commonly considered poverty threshold and are therefore often overlooked. Changes in redistribution systems over time did not affect the contribution of households with minimum wage earners to the income distribution. The inequality of household labor income is more strongly associated with the improved income situation of households with minimum wage earners, as quantile values in the lower range increased by approximately 5 percent. Interactions with redistribution systems thus persist, and the influence of minimum wages is mitigated when broader income concepts are considered.
These findings offer valuable insights for the discussion on the role of minimum wage policy in income inequality and its interaction with long-term developments in labor markets, welfare states, and the social structures of nations.”