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“There will be growth in the spring”: How well do economists predict turning points?

Forecasters have a poor reputation for predicting recessions. This Vox column quantifies their ability to do so, and explores several reasons why both official and private forecasters may fail to call a recession before it happens.

Forecasters have a poor reputation for predicting recessions. This Vox column quantifies their ability to do so, and explores several reasons why both official and private forecasters may fail to call a recession before it happens.

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Posted by at 12:19 PM

Labels: Forecasting Forum

IMF’s World Economic Outlook–April 2014

Posted by at 9:38 PM

Labels: Forecasting Forum

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