The Unassuming Economist

Below is a preliminary list of papers that will presented at this year’s AEA Annual Meeting on January 4-6 in Atlanta, Georgia.

On housing and cycles

• Is Housing the Business Cycle? A Multi-resolution Analysis for OECD Countries – Paper
• The First Housing Bubble? Prices and Turnover in Amsterdam, 1582-1810 – Paper
• Residential Investment and Recession Predictability – Paper
• Residential House Prices, Commercial Real Estate and Bank Failures – Paper and Presentation
• Perception of House Price Risk and Homeownership – Paper
• The Effects of Local Risk on Homeownership – Paper and Presentation
• What Drove the 2003-2006 House Price Boom and Subsequent Collapse? Disentangling Competing Explanations – Paper
• Expectations During the U.S. Housing Boom: Inferring Beliefs from Actions – Paper
• The Housing Boom and Bust: Model Meets Evidence – AEA
• Spatial Estimates of Bubbles: Tokyo House Prices and Rents – AEA

On housing and mortgage

• Brokerage Choice, Dual Agency and Housing Market Strength – Paper
• Villains or Scapegoats? The Role of Subprime Borrowers in Driving the U.S. Housing Boom – Paper
• Financial Fragility with SAM? – Paper
• Structuring Mortgages for Macroeconomic Stability – Paper
• A Crisis of Missed Opportunities? Foreclosure Costs and Mortgage Modification During the Great Recession – Paper
• Mortgage Design and Slow Recoveries: The Role of Recourse and Default – Paper
• Correlation in Mortgage Defaults – Paper
• State Dependency and the Efficacy of Monetary Policy: The Refinancing Channel – Paper
• No Job, No Money, No Refi: Frictions to Refinancing in a Recession – Paper
• Mortgage Losses: Loss on Sale and Holding Costs – Paper and Presentation
• Can Lending Restrictions on “Exotic” Lending Dampen Housing Price Volatility? A Panel VAR Exploration – AEA
• Mortgage Design and Housing Market – AEA
• House Price Markups and Mortgage Defaults – AEA
• Will Housing Mortgagors Increase Their Consumptions after Paying off Loans?-Evidence from Urban China – AEA
• Home Equity Withdrawal via Credit Card Borrowing-Micro Evidence from China – AEA
• Rental Markets and the Effect of Credit Conditions on House Prices – Paper
• Mortgage Lending: Evidence from a Correspondence Field Experiment – AEA
• Fueling the Credit Crisis – AEA
• Strategic or Illiquid Mortgage Default? Evidence from Household Bank Account Data– AEA
• The Impact of Liquidity Regulation on Bank Mortgage Lending – AEA
• How Is Financial Literacy Important in Mortgage Market? Different Evidence from Urban China – AEA
• The Impact of Repossession Risk on Mortgage Default – AEA
• Mortgage Prepayment and Path-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy – AEA
• Mortgage Finance Development Across the World – AEA

On housing policy

• Mortgage Debt, Hand-to-Mouth Households, and the Monetary Policy Transmission – Presentation
• Heterogeneous Spillovers Of Housing Credit Policy – Paper
• The Effects of Rent Control Expansion on Tenants, Landlords, and Inequality: Evidence from San Francisco – Paper
• The Effect of Tax Reform on Tax Liabilities of Owners and Renters – Paper
• Intermediated Credit Supply and Endogenous Household Leverage Constraints – Paper
• Real Estate Asset Bubbles and Monetary Policy: The Channel between Central Bank’s Balance Sheet and Firms’ Balance Sheets – Paper
• Tax Reform, Homeownership Costs, and House Prices – Paper
• The Effect of Government Mortgage Guarantees on Homeownership – Paper
• Loan to Value Limits and House Prices – AEA
• Empirics on the Causal Effects of Rent Control in Germany – AEA
• An Urban Equilibrium Model with Rent Controls Applied to Paris Urban Area – AEA
• Monetary Policy, Heterogeneity, and the Housing Channel – AEA
• Can Lending Restrictions on “Exotic” Lending Dampen Housing Price Volatility? A Panel VAR Exploration – AEA
• Mortgage Pricing and Monetary Policy – AEA

On housing supply

• Fewer players, fewer homes: concentration and the new dynamics of housing supply – Paper and Presentation
• What’s Lost in the Aggregate: Lessons from a Local Index of Housing Supply Elasticities – Paper
• New Construction and Mortgage Default – Paper and Presentation
• Spatial Misallocation in Chinese Housing and Land Markets – AEA

On housing affordability

• Targeting In-Kind Transfers Through Market Design: A Revealed Preference Analysis of Public Housing Allocation – Paper
• Affordable Housing and City Welfare – Paper
• Political Control of the State Legislature and Municipal Bond Financing for Affordable Housing – Paper
• Waiting Lists, Lotteries and Public Housing: Natural Experiment Evidence from Amsterdam – Paper
• Affordable Housing in Westchester County – Paper
• How (Not) to Allocate Affordable Housing – AEA
• The Public-Housing Allocation Problem: Theory and Evidence from Pittsburgh – AEA
• Not In My Neighbor’s Back Yard? Laneway Homes and Neighbors’ Property Values – AEA
• Does Affordable Housing Participation Reduce Default and Prepayment? The Case for the Montgomery County MPDU Program – AEA

On housing and evictions

• Does Eviction Cause Poverty? Quasi-experimental Evidence from Cook County, IL – Paper
• The Effect of Residential Evictions on Low-Income Adults – AEA
• Health Insurance and Housing Stability: The Effect of Medicaid Expansion on Evictions – AEA

On housing, investors, and speculation

• Out-of-Town Home Buyers and City Welfare – Paper
• Economic Consequences of Housing Speculation – Paper
• Speculative Dynamics of Prices and Volume – Paper
• Expectations During the U.S. Housing Boom: Inferring Beliefs from Actions – Paper
• Speculative Asset Bubbles: The Primary Drivers of “Systemic” Banking Crises in Post-war Advanced Economies – Presentation
• Buying Up Elm Street: Institutional Investors and the Housing Recovery – AEA
• Speculating on Superstition: Evidence from Housing Transactions in Hungry Ghost Months in Singapore – AEA

On housing and the sharing economy

• Which Neighborhood Joins the Sharing Economy and Why? – The Case of the Short-term Rental Market in New York City – Paper
• Cash to Spend: Credit Constraints, IPO Lockups, and House Prices – Paper
• Can Landlords be Paid to Stop Avoiding Voucher Tenants? – Paper

On housing, the environment, and natural disasters

• Toxic Assets: How the Housing Market Responds to Environmental Information Shocks – Paper
• Aircraft Noise Pollution, Soundproofing, and Lagging House Price Adjustments: Evidence from the Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport – Paper
• Natural Disasters and Housing Markets: The Tenure Choice Channel – Paper

On housing and transportation

• Commuting, Labor and Housing Market Effects of Mass Transportation: Welfare and Identification – Paper and Presentation
• International Travel Costs and Local Housing Markets – Paper

On housing and everything else

• Getting High or Getting Low? – Paper
• Allocation of Education, School District Policy and Housing Market Efficiency – Presentation
• Why Are Housing Demand Curves Upward Sloping? – Paper and Presentation
• The Cross-Section of Expected Housing Returns – Paper
• Amenity Migration within a Millennial City Evidence from Washington DC Tax Data, 2005-2014 – Paper and Presentation
• Getting More by Asking for Less? – Paper
• Magnification of the ‘China Shock’ Through the United States Housing Market – Paper and Presentation
• Valuing Housing Services in the Era of Big Data: A User Cost Approach Leveraging Zillow Microdata – Paper
• The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada – Paper
• Housing Wealth, Health and Deaths of Despair – Paper
• What Happens After You Overpay for Your House – Paper and Presentation
• When Birth or Death Hits Home: House Prices, Rents and Demography in Paris and Amsterdam, 1400-present – Presentation
• Residential House Prices, Commercial Real Estate and Bank Failures – Paper and Presentation
• Perception of House Price Risk and Homeownership – Paper
• Attitudes Toward and Perceptions of the Ambiguity of House and Stock Prices – Paper
• Housing Wealth and Consumption: New Evidence from Household-Level Panel Data – AEA
• Sorting or Steering: Experimental Evidence on the Economic Effects of Housing Discrimination and Its Consequences for Environmental Justice – AEA
• Real Estate News and REIT Returns – AEA
• The Impact of Housing Quality on Health and Labor Market Outcomes: The German Reunification – AEA
• Sexual Orientation, Gender, Pregnancy, and Family Composition Discrimination in Machine Learning, Building Vintage and Property Values – AEA
• The Impacts of Racial Discrimination on Housing Choice and Welfare in the United States – AEA
• House Prices, Migration, and the Evolution of the Wealth Distribution – AEA

*AEA indicates that neither the paper or presentation is available at the moment.

**This post has been updated on January 5 to add missing papers, and to add links to presentations and papers to existing papers.