Publications

Articles

Ayhan Kose & Marco Terrones & Prakash Loungani, 2012 “The Global Recovery: Where Do We Stand?,” World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund. 

Prakash Loungani, 2012 “Seven Questions: Unemployment through the Prism of the Great Recession,” IMF Research Bulletin Volume 13, Number 1(March 2012)

Gail Cohen & Frederick Joutz & Prakash Loungani, 2011 “Measuring energy security: Trends in the diversification of oil and natural gas supplies,” Energy Policy 39(2011) 4860-4869, Elsevier

Laurence Ball & Daniel Leigh & Prakash Loungani, 2011. “Painful Medicine,” Finance & Development, International Monetary Fund. Spanish, French

Prakash Loungani & Su Wang & Laura Feiveson & Joao Jalles, 2011. “Slow Recovery to Nowhere? A Sectoral View of Labor Markets in Advanced Economies,” World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund.

Prakash Loungani & Mai Dao, 2010. “The Tragedy of Unemployment,” Finance & Development, International Monetary Fund. Spanish, French

Deniz Igan & Prakash Loungani, 2010. “Dismal Prospects for the Real Estate Sector,” World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund.

Prakash Loungani, 2009. “The Elusive Quest for Energy Independence,” International Finance, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(2), pages 291-299, 08. PDF

Deniz Igan & Prakash Loungani, 2009. “Risks from Real Estate Markets,” World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund.

Prakash Loungani, 2008. “House Prices: Corrections and Consequences,” World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund.

Prakash Loungani & Jair Rodriguez, 2008. “Economic Forecasts,” World Economics, World Economics, Economic & Financial Publishing, PO Box 69, Henley-on-Thames, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom, RG9 1GB, vol. 9(2), pages 1-12, April. PDF

Kajal Lahiri & Gultekin Isiklar & Prakash Loungani, 2006. “How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys,” Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 703-725. PDF

Loungani, Prakash, 2005. “In defense of globalization,” Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 544-548, July. PDF

John Fernald & Prakash Loungani, 2004. “Comrades or competitors? on trade relationships between China and emerging Asia,” Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Mar. 

Loungani, Prakash & Mody, Ashoka & Razin, Assaf, 2002. “The Global Disconnect: The Role of Transactional Distance and Scale Economies in Gravity Equations,” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 49(5), pages 526-43, December. PDF

Prakash Loungani, 2002. “There Will Be Growth in the Spring,” World Economics, World Economics, Economic & Financial Publishing, PO Box 69, Henley-on-Thames, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom, RG9 1GB, vol. 3(1), pages 1-6, January. PDF

Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 2002. “Predicting when the economy will turn,” FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar 15. 

Grace Juhn & Prakash Loungani, 2002. “Further Cross-Country Evidence on the Accuracy of the Private Sector’s Output Forecasts,” IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol. 49(1), pages 4. PDF

Alan G. Ahearne & John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani, 2001. “Countering contagion: Does China’s experience offer a blueprint?,” Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Q IV, pages 38-52. 

Loungani, Prakash, 2001. “How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth,” International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 419-432. PDF

Prakash Loungani, 2001. “How Clear is the Crystal Ball?,” World Economics, World Economics, Economic & Financial Publishing, PO Box 69, Henley-on-Thames, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom, RG9 1GB, vol. 2(1), pages 1-8, January. PDF

Loungani, Prakash & Razin, Assaf & Yuen, Chi-Wa, 2001. “Capital mobility and the output-inflation tradeoff,” Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 255-274, February. PDF

Prakash Loungani & Paolo Mauro, 2001. “Capital Flight from Russia,” The World Economy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 24(5), pages 689-706, 05. PDF

Fernald, John & Edison, Hali & Loungani, Prakash, 1999. “Was China the first domino? Assessing links between China and other Asian economies,” Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 515-535, August. PDF

Loungani, Prakash, 1999. “Multinationals and East Asian Integration: Wendy Dobson and Chia Siow Yue (Eds.); International Development Research Centre, Ottawa, 1997,” Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 497-499. PDF

Loungani, Prakash & Sheets, Nathan, 1997. “Central Bank Independence, Inflation, and Growth in Transition Economies,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(3), pages 381-99, August. PDF

Hesna Genay & Prakash Loungani, 1997. “Labor market fluctuations in Japan and the U.S.–how similar are they?,” Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue May, pages 15-28. 

Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 1997. “Explaining unemployment: sectoral vs aggregate shocks,” Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-15. 

Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 1997. “Job creation and destruction,” FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue May 2. 

Loungani, Prakash, 1996. “Macroeconomic effects of labor reallocation A comment,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 117-124, June. PDF 

Ghosal, Vivek & Loungani, Prakash, 1996. “Evidence on Nominal Wage Rigidity from a Panel of U.S. Manufacturing Industries,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 28(4), pages 650-68, November. PDF

Ghosal, Vivek & Loungani, Prakash, 1996. “Product Market Competition and the Impact of Price Uncertainty on Investment: Some Evidence from US Manufacturing Industries,” Journal of Industrial Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(2), pages 217-28, June. PDF

Loungani, Prakash & Rush, Mark, 1995. “The Effect of Changes in Reserve Requirements on Investment and GNP,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(2), pages 511-26, May. PDF

Kim, In-Moo & Loungani, Prakash, 1992. “The role of energy in real business cycle models,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 173-189, April. PDF

Loungani, Prakash, 1991. “Structural unemployment and public policy in interwar Britain: A review essay,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 149-159, August. PDF

Prakash Loungani & Mark Rush & William Tave, 1991. “Stock market dispersion and business cycles,” Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Jan, pages 2-8. 

Berg, Sanford V. & Loungani, Prakash, 1990. “Modelling state energy consumption: Forecasts for Florida, 1987-2006,” Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 216-226, July. PDF

Loungani, Prakash & Rush, Mark & Tave, William, 1990. “Stock market dispersion and unemployment,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 367-388, June. PDF

Loungani, Prakash, 1990. “Applied time series analysis for business and economic forecasting : Sufi M. Nazem, (Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York and Basel, 1988), pp. 431, $89.75,” International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 565-566, December. PDF 

Loungani, Prakash & Rogerson, Richard, 1989. “Cyclical fluctuations and sectoral reallocation: Evidence from the PSID,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 259-273, March. PDF

Loungani, Prakash, 1986. “Oil Price Shocks and the Dispersion Hypothesis,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 68(3), pages 536-39, August. PDF

Book Chapters and Working Papers

Ball, Laurence & Furceri, Davide & Leigh, Daniel & Loungani, Prakash, 2013 “The Distributional Effects of Fiscal Consolidation,” The Twin Challenges of Reducing Poverty and Creating Employment: Chapter 8, United Nations

Ball, Laurence & Furceri, Davide & Leigh, Daniel & Loungani, Prakash, 2013 “The Distributional Effects of Fiscal Consolidation,” IMF Working Papers 13/151, International Monetary Fund

Blanchard, Olivier & Jaumotte, Florence & Loungani, Prakash, 2013 “Labor Market Policies and IMF Advice in Advanced Economies during the Great Recession,” IMF Staff Discussion Note SDN/13/02, International Monetary Fund

Loungani, Prakash & Stekler, Herman & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2011 “Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts: Some Cross-Country Evidence,” IMF Working Papers 11/125, International Monetary Fund.

Chen, Jinzhu & Kannan, Prakash & Loungani, Prakash & Trehan, Bharat, 2011 “New Evidence on Cyclical and Structural Sources of Unemployment,” IMF Working Papers 11/106, International Monetary Fund.

Mai Dao & Prakash Loungani, 2010 “The Human Cost of Recessions: Assessing It, Reducing It,” IMF Staff Position Note SPN/10/17, International Monetary Fund.

Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal & Loungani, Prakash, 2006. “How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys,” MPRA Paper 22065, University Library of Munich, Germany. PDF

Alan G. Ahearne & John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani & John W. Schindler, 2006. “Flying geese or sitting ducks: China’s impact on the trading fortunes of other Asian economies,” International Finance Discussion Papers 887, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

Loungani, Prakash & Razin, Assaf, 2005. “Globalization and Disinflation: The Efficiency Channel,” CEPR Discussion Papers 4895, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. PDF

Assaf Razin & Prakash Loungani, 2005. “US Monetary Policy Announcements and the Term Structure of Interest Rate Differentials: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore,” Working Papers 102005, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. 

Assaf Razin & Prakash Loungani, 2005. “Globalization and Inflation-Output Tradeoffs,” NBER Working Papers 11641, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. PDF 

Alan G. Ahearne & John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani & John W. Schindler, 2003. “China and emerging Asia: comrades or competitors?,” International Finance Discussion Papers 789, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

Loungani, Prakash & Razin, Assaf & Yuen, Chi-Wa, 2002. “The Open Economy Phillips Curve: ‘New Keynesian’ Theory and Evidence,” CEPR Discussion Papers 3582, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. PDF

Prakash Loungani & Phillip Swagel, 2001. “Sources of Inflation in Developing Countries,” IMF Working Papers 01/198, International Monetary Fund.

Prakash Loungani & Paolo Mauro, 2000. “Capital Flight from Russia,” IMF Policy Discussion Papers 00/6, International Monetary Fund. PDF

Prakash Loungani, 2000. “How Accurate Are Private Sector Forecasts–Cross-Country Evidence from Consensus Forecasts of Output Growth,” IMF Working Papers 00/77, International Monetary Fund. PDF

Markus Rodlauer, 2000. “Philippines: Toward Sustainable and Rapid Growth,” IMF Occasional Papers 187, International Monetary Fund. PDF

Kalpana Kochhar & Prakash Loungani & Mark R. Stone, 1998. “The East Asian Crisis – Macroeconomic Developments and Policy Lessons,” IMF Working Papers 98/128, International Monetary Fund. PDF

John Fernald & Hali Edison & Prakash Loungani, 1998. “Was China the first domino? assessing links between China and the rest of emerging Asia,” International Finance Discussion Papers 604, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). 

Loungani, Prakash & Razin, Assaf & Yuen, Chi-Wa, 1997. “Capital Mobility and the Output-Inflation Tradeoff,” CEPR Discussion Papers 1577, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. PDF

Steven J. Davis & Prakash Loungani & Ramamohan Mahidhara, 1997. “Regional labor fluctuations: oil shocks, military spending, and other driving forces,” International Finance Discussion Papers 578, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

Vivek Ghosal & Prakash Loungani, 1996. “Firm size and the impact of profit-margin uncertainty on investment: do financing constraints play a role?,” International Finance Discussion Papers 557, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

Vivek Ghosal & Prakash Loungani, 1995. “Evidence on nominal wage rigidity from a panel of U.S. manufacturing industries,” International Finance Discussion Papers 512, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

Vivek Ghosal & Prakash Loungani, 1995. “Product market competition and the impact of price uncertainty on investment: some evidence from U.S. manufacturing industries,” International Finance Discussion Papers 517, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

Prakash Loungani & Nathan Sheets, 1995. “Central bank independence, inflation and growth in transition economies,” International Finance Discussion Papers 519, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

Prakash Loungani & Phillip Swagel, 1995. “Supply-side sources of inflation: evidence from OECD countries,” International Finance Discussion Papers 515, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). 

Prakash Loungani & Mark Rush, 1994. “The effect of changes in reserve requirements on investment and GNP,” International Finance Discussion Papers 471, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

In-Moo Kim & Prakash Loungani, 1991. “The role of energy in real business cycle models,” Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 91-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. PDF

Prakash Loungani, 1991. “Structural unemployment and public policy in interwar Britain: a review essay,” Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 91-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. PDF

Prakash Loungani & Mark Rush & William Tave, 1990. “Stock market dispersion and real economic activity: evidence from quarterly data,” Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 90-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. PDF

Prakash Loungani & Mark Rush, 1990. “Sectoral shifts in interwar Britain,” Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 90-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. PDF

Prakash Loungani & Richard Rogerson & Yang-Hoon Sonn, 1989. “Labor mobility, unemployment and sectoral shifts: evidence from micro data,” Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 89-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. PDF

Loungani, P. & Ruch, M. & Tave, W., 1989. “Stock Market Dispersion, Unemployment And Gnp,” Papers 89-02, Florida – College of Business Administration. PDF

Loungani, P. & Rogerson, R. & Sonn, Y-H., 1989. “Unemployment And Sectoral Shifts: Evidence From The Psid,” Papers 89-1, Florida – College of Business Administration.

Prakash Loungani, 1986. “Oil Price Shocks and the Dispersion Hypothesis, 1900 – 1980,” Working Paper No. 33, New York – University of Rochester. PDF

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