The Unassuming Economist

From a paper by Adnan Mazarei and Prakash Loungani:

“Coverage. This paper assesses the IMF’s engagement with countries in the Middle East and
Central Asian Department (MCD) from February 2020 to April 2021, drawing on the experience of
Kyrgyz Republic, Morocco, Tunisia, and Uzbekistan. The paper also briefly describes MCD’s policy
advice over the course of the pandemic and the department’s strategy for helping the region.

Appropriate pivot in surveillance. While staff’s initial worries about the region were centered
around the sharp spike in global risk aversion—portfolio flows to the region declined by nearly
$2 billion in February–March—they quickly pivoted to healthcare and humanitarian
considerations. The April 2020 Regional Economic Outlook (REO) emphasized the immediate
priority of containing the spread of the virus and advocated fiscal easing to accommodate
necessary spending.

Rapid and effective financing. By June 2020, 15 countries in the region had received
emergency or upper credit tranche (UCT) financing from the Fund, and the Fund’s financing
exposure to the region increased by more than 65 percent in 2020. Our case studies of
Kyrgyz Republic, Tunisia, and Uzbekistan paint a positive picture overall of the value to countries
of the rapid provision of Fund emergency financing (EF). The first two received the maximum
permitted under Fund access limits despite some concerns about policies.”

Continue reading here.