Sunday, June 5, 2011
How Often Do Forecasters Revise their Forecasts?
The Economic Times (India) summarizes my recent work on Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts: Some Cross-Country Evidence (joint with Herman Stekler and Natalia Tamirisa).
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- Jobs and Growth: The Evolution in IMF Research
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- What Keeps France's Unemployment High?
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- OPEC’s Strategic Actions and the 2014 Oil Price Crash
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- House Prices in Indonesia
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- Inequality and opening up to foreign capital and inequality: some new results
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- The IMF’s Interest in Inclusive Growth: Promising or PR?
- International Jobs Report
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- A Groundhog Day Tradition: The Stekler Award for Courage in Forecasting
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- The Unemployment Picture in 2016
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- Global Housing Watch Quarterly Update
- “Growth is devilishly hard to predict”
- Four Questions About Recent Developments in UK's Housing Market
- Housing and Systemic Risk
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- Forecasting: Who keeps the score?
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- Housing Markets: Balancing Risks and Rewards
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- On U.S. Labor Market Slack: Updated Estimates of the Impact of Uncertainty on Unemployment
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- ► September (12)
- US Housing Market: An Update
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- The Stekler Award for Courage in Forecasting (Recessions Inaccurately)
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- Israel’s Labor Market: High Inequality, Low Productivity
- Rising House Prices and Household Debt: A Twin Boom in Norway?
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- Behind the commodities bust
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- Should Emerging Markets Fear A Fed Lift-Off?
- On the Globalization of Real Estate and its Consequences
- US Housing Market: An Update
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- LTV and DTI Limits—Going Granular
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- Lower unionization associated with increased inequality: IMF F&D
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- Tom Sargent on U.S. and Europe: A Blast from the Past
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- International Jobs Report: It's Not Just About US
- The Secret of the (Economic) Universe
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- ► April (7)
- Global House Prices: Continue Rising
- Minimum Wages and Employment
- Okun Isn't Brokun': Sorry to Sound like a Brokun' Record
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- The taxman cometh: IMF Book Forum on Piketty’s Capital
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- U.S. “Structural” Unemployment: Updated Estimates
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- A Marxist theory is (sort of) right
- ► August (8)
- Stan Fischer: A Class Act
- Florida vs. Spain: Labor Mobility within Currency Unions
- The Driving Force behind Construction in Europe
- The Stock Market 'Prediction Charade'
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- Great Recession and Not-So-Great Recovery
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- How the IMF became the friend who wants us to work less and drink more
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- How Labor Markets Can Support Workers, Economic Growth
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- Tom Sargent on European and U.S. Economic Woes—and History
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- Manufacturing: Hope or Hopeless?
- Global Think Tanks Rankings
- “Treat us right, not white”: MLK Day 2012
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- The Good, the Bad and the Ugly (Boom, Gloom or Doom?): Global GDP Outlook from Ethan Harris
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- Energy Security: Depend, but Diversify
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